3 September 2024

Risk and uncertainty in a multipolar world: solutions and tools

Developing the banking system is essential in order to successfully overcome financial risks

 

Regulating financial relations and developing the banking system are key to improving access to money. Banking institutions are introducing new tools and platforms to raise financial literacy among the public. This in turn is helping people to manage their personal finances in a more conscious and effective way. The integration of advanced technologies and judicious state regulation help create a solid foundation for overcoming financial barriers, and contributes to sustainable economic growth. Those were the conclusions reached at a session entitled Risk and Uncertainty in a Multipolar World: Solutions and Tools, which took place as part of the Eastern Economic Forum.

 

 

KEY CONCLUSIONS

The development of information technologies has helped to solve new tasks

 

“It is important to use new platforms in the complex decision-making models that we are building... These should serve as a common basis for discussing further steps. Behind all this also lies the development of information technologies, which over the past 15 years have significantly changed not only the banking sector, but also our everyday lives, thanks to new gadgets. They have opened up new opportunities for solving previously unclear tasks at the confluence of various disciplines and sciences,” Olga Dergunova, Deputy President and Chairman of the Management Board, VTB Bank.

 

“In order to effectively accumulate our capabilities, the country must speak a common language, and now is the time to do so. This applies not only to financial literacy but also to ensuring that decision-makers share a common understanding of the general issues and methodologies related to risks at the macro level, at the regional level, at the corporate level, and at small and medium-sized businesses. <...> We must together recognize the impact risks have on our lives, be they global political and economic risks, or situational risks when implementing specific projects. We need to speak clearly and simply, and structure our collective approaches. Perhaps this task resembles that faced by our predecessors when they carried out literacy and general education campaigns,” Sergey Gavrilov, Chairman of the Committee of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation on Property, Land and Property Relations.

 

 

PROBLEMS

A lack of financial resources, which slows the process of implementing projects and increases risks

 

“The budget was not designed for such a high key rate. Subsidies are paid depending on the key rate. In a number of programmes, there is a deficit with regard to sources of subsidies, even for projects that had already been approved. And that’s not to mention new projects for these programmes. A prime example is Resolution No. 191 [of the Government of the Russian Federation: ‘On State Support for Organizations Implementing Corporate Competitiveness Enhancement Programmes’ – ed.]. It exists in theory, but in practice it isn’t doing anything, because there are no budget funds, and new projects are not being approved. They are waiting their turn. And of course, if the Central Bank continues to raise the rate, launching projects in other sectors outside the programmes will simply become impossible until the situation with the key rate normalizes,” Timur Belikov, Executive Vice President, Gazprombank.

“Project financing deals are among the most complex of their kind in finance. That is because they require substantial expertise due to the many risks involved. <...> The Project Finance Factory programme enables borrowers to protect themselves from the risk of key rate increases. We see that the key rate is changing significantly, and those who started their projects under the Project Finance Factory mechanism are now very pleased with it, as the key rate is much higher than it was when they began,” Dmitriy Aksakov, Vice-President, VEB.RF.

SOLUTIONS

 

Assessing risks through employing new digital financial platforms, technologies, and tools

 

“One of the most serious issues... are those related to the protection of the financial system. That applies both at the national level, and in terms of protecting individuals’ financial savings and corporate finances from the increasingly growing threats of interference. Such hostile interference by global groups occurs both at the corporate and individual level. In this regard, we are not only looking to develop adequate responses, but also consider it necessary to build multinational systems and platform-based solutions to prevent these risks. These should also at the very least monitor risks and alert us [to their presence – ed.],” Sergey Gavrilov, Chairman of the Committee of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation on Property, Land and Property Relations.

“We decided to build a platform. It’s called the Centralized Institutional Risk Management Platform, and consolidates a great many aspects of different risks. They include both natural and technological risks. In terms of natural risks, we rely... on the Ministry of Emergency Situations – their institutions, their models, and their data, which is now quite accurate and, in fact, is the only option available regarding our country. As for technological risks, we rely on our databases and access to the databases of insurance brokers, who have been tracking various technological solutions for a long time. They have also been tracking various technological structures, and have quite a lot of information... regarding various risks associated with equipment maintenance,” Igor Fedorov, General Director, RC Complex Systems.

 

“One of the overarching objectives for the state is to maximize the mobilization of financial resources in the country. The thinking is that a significant amount of money in the country is not being used to implement major projects which are key to long‑term growth. One of the ideas being considered is for major financial institutions, such as VEB.RF, Gazprombank, VTB, and Sberbank, to initiate projects and to help them through the most difficult stages – structuring and construction. And when, for example, a factory is built and begins generating income, this credit risk can be transferred to a broader circle of investors – for instance, through the securitization of loans. Then this risk can be sold in the form of bonds to a wide range of investors,” Dmitriy Aksakov, Vice-President, VEB.RF.

 

Improving financial literacy with a view to better regulating financial relations and developing the banking system

 

“The financial industry has found itself at the confluence of several trends. Firstly, there is global disruption to the chains we were once used to, and the need to restructure them. Secondly, there is rapid technological progress. The banking sector is always at the forefront, managing risks and mobile applications, and interacting with clients. This makes it vital for it to be able to adapt to technological trends. Thirdly, there is the need to improve the general financial culture and to educate the public. Uncontrolled ignorance and financial illiteracy pose risks not only to individuals, but also to the entire financial system, as we observe in cases of money theft. The better the technologies, the more vulnerabilities exist. And the less knowledge people have about how to use these technologies, the higher the risks,” Olga Dergunova, Deputy President and Chairman of the Management Board, VTB Bank.

 

“Financial literacy is a key topic right now. I believe we’ve long needed a mandatory financial literacy course for senior-year school pupils or higher education students alongside other courses,” Timur Belikov, Executive Vice President, Gazprombank.

 

* This is a translation of material that was originally generated in Russian using artificial intelligence.

 

For more information, visit the Roscongress Foundation’s Information and Analytical System at roscongress.org/en